Girona – Real Sociedad Betting Tip 14.05.2026
Girona’s La Liga survival is on the line when they host Real Sociedad at Montilivi on Thursday night. Michel’s side are two points above the relegation zone with three games remaining and cannot afford another slip, while their opponents arrive with the Copa del Rey already secured and nothing meaningful to chase.
Girona
Michel’s side are in a genuine relegation fight with three games left. Girona sit 17th, just two points above the drop zone and winless in their last five La Liga matches, a run of two draws and three defeats since their 1-0 win over Villarreal on April 6. They did salvage a point at Rayo Vallecano in their last outing when Cristhian Stuani’s stoppage-time equaliser cancelled out Aleman’s late goal, a result that at least ended a three-game losing streak.
Montilivi has not been a fortress this season. Girona have the joint fourth-worst home record in La Liga, having taken only 22 points from 17 home games. Only two sides have conceded more home goals than their tally of 25, and just three teams have scored fewer at home. Bryan Gil returns from suspension and adds a creative option that was missing at Rayo. Van de Beek and Juan Carlos remain out with cruciate injuries, while Vanat and ter Stegen are unavailable with hamstring problems.
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad’s season peaked on April 18 when they beat Atletico Madrid on penalties to win the Copa del Rey, their first title since 1987. Since that night in Seville, Pellegrino Matarazzo’s side have taken two points from four La Liga matches and sit eighth in the table. European qualification via the Copa del Rey is already confirmed, which removes any genuine pressure from these final fixtures.
Their away attack has been further weakened by the suspension of Orri Oskarsson and a hamstring injury to Goncalo Guedes. Jon Aramburu returns from his one-game ban and should start at right back. Zubeldia and Karrikaburu remain in the final stages of recovery. Despite the indifferent recent form, Sociedad have lost only once in their last 11 meetings with Girona overall, though that defeat came in the reverse fixture this season when Girona won 2-1.
Betting Verdict
This fixture is set up for Girona. The hosts are fighting for survival and have the crowd and the desperation to back that up. Real Sociedad have nothing meaningful left to play for, are missing key attacking personnel, and have been drifting through games since winning the cup. Girona have never beaten Sociedad at home in La Liga, but this is an unusual set of circumstances. Michel’s side need points urgently, and with Stuani returning to the scoresheet and Bryan Gil available, there is enough in attack to cause a weakened Sociedad backline problems. The value is on Girona to take all three points in a match where every detail of the context favours the home side.
The Pick
Take Girona to Win at odds of 2.06 with @bet365
Correct Score: 2-1